We will extend our free DP for corn from May 31 until July 31. Topflight will also offer free DP for soybeans delivered off the farm, starting June 1 until July 31,2019.
Market Recap:
Corn futures closed 14 cents higher in old crop and 9-12 cents higher in new crop. CN gained 21 cents for the week and closed above $4, the first time since last May when the “great unpleasantness” of U.S./China trade issues surfaced. Funds were buyers of 7,000 contracts mid-session and held an estimated short position of 149,000 this morning. Producer selling interest picked up noticeably this week, though it was not as heavy today as a 14-cent rally would suggest. Wet weather slowing planting progress and uncertainty over gov’t assistance programs are at the forefront of the market. Prevent Plant and the MFP payments give producers plenty to consider. MFP seems to be set up to incentivize farmers to plant and not take prevent plant, while also not causing a shift in acres to take advantage of the programs. One rumor today had the prevent plant percentage increasing from 55% to 70%+ while at the same time there are suggestions 15% of corn acres will move to beans and we’ll lose 2.25 billion bu. of corn production. Weather forecasts the next 5-7 days as well as longer term models remain wet in most of the eastern corn belt and don’t paint a good picture for planting. Producers are still expected to try and plant corn if possible, though. SX/CZ ratio at 2.04. The market is trying to balance all these storylines and volatility is increasing. Lost in the shuffle today was a sale of 113tmt of corn to Mexico for 18/19.
Soybeans closed 8 cents higher in both old crop and new crop with SN gaining 8 cents this week. Funds were buyers of 3,000 contracts mid-session and held an estimated short position of 166,000 contracts this morning. Traders are caught between fears more acres switch to beans from corn (one group estimates an additional 575 million bu. of production) and ideas soybeans don’t get planted either. Also, in the mix is what happens if a “deal” takes place with China? The 1 billion bu. 18/19 carryout is a buffer in the marketplace against all these storylines. Most of the excitement this week was in corn and wheat with beans a follower for a change. As a result, producer selling was light compared to corn during the week.
Wheat closed 17-20 cents higher today and WN gained 24 cents this week. Funds were buyers of 4,000 contracts mid-session and held an estimated short position of 67,000 contracts this morning. CIF wheat continues to firm. Possible quality issues for SRW causing concern while at the same time there are reports of a great crop in KS (HRW.)
Funds Daily
C -91,000 (+50,000); S -153,000 (+10,000); W -68,000 (+15,000); SM -36,000 (+5,000); BO -73,000 (+3,000)
Have a great evening!!!!
Chelsey White
Emery Branch Manager/Originator || Topflight Grain Coop
593 Emery Rd.
Maroa, Il 61756
217-794-2240
E-Mail: cwhite@topflightgrain.com
This material should be construed as market commentary, merely observing economic, political and/or market conditions, and not intended to refer to any particular trading strategy, promotional element or quality of service provided by Topflight Grain Cooperative, Inc. Topflight Grain is not responsible for any redistribution of this material by third parties, or any trading decisions taken by persons not intended to view this material. Information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy. Contact Topflight Grains designated personnel for specific trading advice to meet your trading preferences. These materials represent the opinions and viewpoints of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the viewpoints and trading strategies employed by Topflight Grain Cooperative, Inc.
